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Monday, 14 April, 2008

  • Newsnight
  • 14 Apr 08, 04:57 PM

Jeremy is presenting tonight's programme, and we'll start the programme with the first in a series of reports this week focusing on the rising price of food across the planet, and the .

Biofuel
Rape seedTonight, we look at biofuels. From tomorrow, 2.5% of all the petrol and diesel we buy at the pump must come from biofuels. That's a government target. But even before it's been enforced, the government has signalled that it's cooling on the whole idea of biofuels - amidst concerns that biofuel production is contributing to the rising price of food, and isn't proving all that environmentally friendly. The Chancellor Alistair Darling called for a review of the use of biofuels at the weekend saying, "It would be a profound mistake if we get into a situation where we are growing corn that is essential for feeding people and converting it into fuel." So why is the government insisting on the use of biofuels in petrol?

Brown
Also tonight: Gordon Brown insisted today that he is focusing "every effort" on steering the economy away from recession. Meanwhile, the Shadow Chancellor George Osborne, has claimed the government's reputation for economic competence is in tatters. Who's right? And what, in policy terms, can the government actually do to prevent a recession? Paul Mason is investigating, and Michael Crick will have the latest on the rumblings from Labour backbenchers about dissatisfaction with the direction of the Brown government.

China in Africa
And we have the first of a series of fascinating films from Tim Whewell in Africa - looking at the ever-growing influence of China on the continent. There are now 700 Chinese firms operating in 49 African countries. And, even though it's still classed as a developing nation, China has sunk more than 拢12bn into developing Africa's infrastructure since the year 2000. The biggest China-in-Africa deal so far is about to be signed - between China and the Democratic Republic of Congo. If it goes ahead, it will have a huge influence on the Congolese people - even though it's barely known about in the country. Tim has been there to find out how it will work - .

Join Jeremy at 10.30

Comments  Post your comment

Hence we see the beginnings of our being sidelined in international commerce in the same ways that China nad developing nations have been for centuries. This process is being catalysed by our ridiculous foreign policies relative to Iraq and Afghanistan. How different the world is already, and we are seeing only the tip of a huge iceberg.

  • 2.
  • At 07:00 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • John Bickley wrote:

So, in order to address a man-made computer model forecast that says in 100 years time the world might be slightly warmer politicians and vested interest groups make it more profitable for farmers to knock down rain forest to grow bio-fuels (which aren't necessarily as carbon efficient as we were first led to believe - just like wind farms which aren't as productive as first claimed) instead of the food the world needs now.

You couldn't make it up!!

  • 3.
  • At 10:21 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • Bedd Gelert wrote:

John - I don't accept your premise.
James Lovelock is clearly not in favour of doing anything to reduce the amount of rainforest, and he is certainly not a fan of biofuels.

Biofuels are being mooted because many don't believe Lovelock's predictions, and just how serious an issue this is, and so think we can get away with the tinkering around the edges with things like biofuels.

The reality is that we are going down the biofuels route precisely because people haven't yet realised that the car is no longer sustainable as a mode of transport, and are willing to do anything to hang on it, even if the long term consequences are close to disastrous.

  • 4.
  • At 10:37 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • David Boycott wrote:

"The government has committed" us all to using biofuels.

No it has not. The EU has committed us all to using biofuels.

Once again, the 大象传媒 is obscuring the determining role of the anti-democratic and unaccountable institution that is the EU, which is now responsible for the bulk of legislation that affects our daily lives.
May I look forward to a broadcast correction?

After dealing tonight with 'the unsustainability of natural resources' could Newsnight perhaps devote a further programme to
'the unsustainability of human procreation'?
Planet Earth protects itself against damaging imbalances without favouring human beings, so we are in for some form(s) of global humanitarian crisis, be it mass starvation, plagues or wars.
Freed from the shackles of primitive belief systems in gods, we could all seek and find more uplifting and creative solutions to many of today's problems by using our churches to worship Mother Nature.

  • 6.
  • At 10:51 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • Matthew May wrote:

The whole biofuels issue is pure insanity.

Anyone with a half decent mind can see that its a bad idea to cut down ancient forest to grow fuels which will spit out more carbon in the process than using the already limited oil stocks.

The way forward is to not think about oil substitutes, but oil replacements.

I recall reading that over 75% of teh active solar cells are used in Germany, because the government there gave industry heavy subsidy. Now there are people able to sell energy back to their national grid.

Its systems like these, which we need to be promoting, real future technologies, after all, burning things is so last century.

  • 7.
  • At 11:11 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • Bill MacDonald wrote:

The 大象传媒 are as much to blame if not moreso than most of the media with their totally biased and one sided argument in relation to the plastic bag issue. The 大象传媒 have heavily promoted cotton, paper and hessian bags over many, many months and dismissed the unintended consequences that they were told would come about. More fuel usage, higher prices paid by the poorest for food, excavation of land to grow crops for alternative bags instead of growing food. Now the 大象传媒 are trying to wriggle out of their corner by blaming the government for dismissing scientic evidence. The 大象传媒 have been cuddling up to the plastic bag free campaigners to such an extent it should redress the balance now and tell the viewers the facts instead of fiction.

  • 8.
  • At 11:28 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • Roger Devlin wrote:

Global Warming is a problem of the future but people are starving now. Bio fuel just moves the problem but not solves it. We need to subsidise the price of rice and cereals for poor countries and also subsidise the growth of these crops to encourage farmers to grow more. Forget bio fuels until we have the capacity.
The most valuable thing we can do is to use the very large tax revenues from fuel to pay countries that still have forests to keep them so they are too valuable to chop and burn down as is happening on a huge scale.

Biofuels are not insanity at all. They are getting a very bad press at the moment but the facts are as follows:

The total quantity of cereal crops going into biofuel production is 2% across Europe.

The vast majority of biofuels produced in the Uk are from waste products such as waste vegetable oil and tallow.

Price increases in foods, particularly wheat are due to crop failures in Australia and Russia

There is a debate to be had about the future long term sustainability of biofuels, anyone wishing to join in should do so via www.biofuelsmedia.com/conference

Biofuels have their part to play in the overall energy requirements in the future, media hysteria about biofuels is not going to help the market develop. Cheap imports coming into Europe, subsidised by American tax payers are the largest problem that the industry currently faces. European produced biofuels under scrutiny for sustainability criterea is the way forward for sure.

  • 10.
  • At 11:42 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

BIOFUEL
This is something I鈥檝e discussed many times with other people. Biofuels are a falsity. It often takes more energy to produce them than the benefits the fuels give, - and they rob poor countries of their natural resources just so self satisfied westerners can assuage their brittle conscience. It is much more important that global food stocks are maintained. There IS an alternative to Biofuels; It is the Electric Car.

If petrol was not available from tomorrow onwards, what would car manufacturers do? I could guarantee that there would be fully electric vehicles on the road this time next week. And how can I be so sure? Because the vehicles and technology ALREADY exists, but our government and the oil industry choose to ignore this fact because an electric car which can do 373 miles on a single charge costing 拢3.50, and can travel at normal speeds, would begin to economically damage oil companies overnight. America has a car, the Solectra Sunrise, a 4-passenger prototype electric vehicle (EV) sedan, which, on Oct. 24 1997 - Powered by Ovonic nickel metal-hydride (NiMH) batteries, travelled from Boston to New York City on a single charge at normal highway speeds.

There is no reason why our government should not invest in developing this technology. Check out evuk.co.uk.

A petition to the Government to take steps to make affordable electric cars available in Britain this year might be a good idea. But let鈥檚 not rush the job, it is more important to feed the people first.

Peter Dewar-Finch

  • 11.
  • At 11:46 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

I enjoyed 'the first of a series of fascinating films from Tim Whewell in Africa' - until the report reached the part where Whewell shows mining entrepreneur Paul Fortin some 'back of an envelope' calculations proving how much profit the Chinese stand to make from the deals they're doing in Congo. Fortin points out some flaws in the calculation, and concludes, 'Only a third of that number, I suspect'. That last phrase has clearly been dubbed onto the video - his lips make the shapes of different words, and the audio quality is different. What was Fortin's original response? Why was he given the opportunity to change his mind and give an alternative view? Why did you feel the need for this sort of chicanery? And why was the edit clumsier than a redubbed Italian advert for cheap chocolate?

  • 12.
  • At 11:53 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

I enjoyed 鈥榯he first of a series of fascinating films from Tim Whewell in Africa looking at the ever-growing influence of China鈥 until the part where Whewell interviews mining entrepreneur Paul Fortin. Whewell shows him some 鈥榖ack of an envelope鈥 calculations proving how much China stands to make from a mining deal. Fortin objects to the figures, and concludes by saying, 鈥極nly a third of that number, I would suspect鈥. Sadly, you can clearly see that those are not the words his lips speak 鈥 and the audio quality is different. Why was this comment dubbed onto the report after the original interview? What did Fortin originally say? Why was Fortin given the opportunity to change his mind? Why did Newsnight feel the need to resort to this chicanery? And why did it do it with less competence than a badly-dubbed advert for cheap Italian chocolate?

  • 13.
  • At 11:54 PM on 14 Apr 2008,
  • Andrew Robinson wrote:

It isn't biofuels per se, it is the IPCC agenda, in partnership with others, that has corrupted the public's understanding of human impact on world climates.

You've even got another Nobel Peace Prize Winner writing to Rajendra Pachauri, chairman of the IPCC, telling him to put the its house in order: either publish coherent rigorous analysis as to how CO2/GHGs are driving temperatures that they are supposed to be or desist from talking up their contribution and renounce previous hype/policy.

Remember global mean temperatures have not been rising for a number of years: renowned climatologists are making it utterly clear that global warming has not been occurring for at least 4 years; some put it at nearer 10: and you can't put that all down to the current La Nina, as has been has been tried by some at the Hadley Centre recently.

Yet scientifically illiterate numpties in the 大象传媒 upper echelons insist (to the self-acknowledged bewilderment of one Jeremy Paxman) on being constrained by a Royal Society headlock, key individuals from which have been part of the same milieu as the IPCC from the start; as indeed have personnel from the Met Office/Hadley Centre.

We desperately need media that, like the 大象传媒 Trust argued in its Wagon Wheel Report of last year, reflect the perspectives on climate change in the round, not just pseudo-consensus viewpoints, with a vacuum left from where any dissent is crying out to be heard.

Why not start by investigating the pool of talent that actually makes up the IPCC scientific Lead Authors, particularly of the WG1 Summary for Policymakers? And also the procedures used to determine their appointments: to ensure the breadth of expertise.

If the 大象传媒 could only drop its reverence for a narrow sliver of scientific opinion and instead look at what vested interests drive whose agendas - on the AGW alarmist/believer side of the fence as well as elsewhere - it might have a hope of living up to the Bronowskian rigour that once would have counted:

"No science is immune to the infection of politics and the corruption of power."

"Dissent is the native activity of the scientist..."

  • 14.
  • At 12:18 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • James wrote:

The whole basis of this debate manages to distract us, the members of the species, from the true nature of the problem; it is not the planet that is unsustainable, but our production methods and our current organisational structures. We are all more than aware of the system that brings us our daily cup of tea or pumps electricity into our homes is the same system that brings us pollution, poverty and world wars.

Therefore, it is the system that imposes this perceived limit and not the planet itself. The planet does not have a limit, in essence, to how many people it can sustain, if there is joined up thinking; high rise food production buildings, maximisation of solar and other 鈥榞reen鈥 energy supplies, organise for humans and not for profit, irrigate the whole of Africa, create fields of plenty where there are dust bowls, desalinate the oceans, control the water flow. We do know about pipes, pumps and filters after all.

So the question is not one of an unsustainable planet, but an unsustainable system, and one that, by the looks of things just now, has seen its hay day long gone. There is another way folks, and we do not have to wait to be 鈥渄irected鈥 from above. Waken up, join, and work towards our common human goals, that is the only way to guarantee your survival and hence the survival of this species.

You鈥檙e not alone, there are 6,000,000,000 of us, at least that have a vested interest in all of us deciding on a better way:)

Peace

  • 15.
  • At 12:19 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

OAK GALL (Gordon's Delusion)

The rotten tree stands tall replete with fruit
fed by its heart鈥檚 decay, it boasts success.
Enthusiastic branches bow that trunk
and pay full homage to its patronage.
Once backbone鈥檚 true-grain majesty held sway
but now corrupt, dark process feeds a shell;
that core, long since bereft of virtue鈥檚 ring
usurped, degraded, meeting falsehoods needs.
So stands Great Britain: posturing the World
while cant, hypocrisy and turpitude -
it鈥檚 Rotten Boroughs - make up Parliament
where talk is cheap; truth economical.
On Trade and Trident British pride stands tall
but like that tree, core-rotten, we shall fall.

  • 16.
  • At 01:09 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

Outstanding Jeremy tonight - particularly with Jean Ziegler on the issue of biofuels. At first I'd thought it was a good way to solve pollution and decrease carbon emissions. However after tonight's report by Jackie Long and the debate with Jean Ziegler, I also consider it to be utter madness. Domestic UK biofuels may well be made from waste products, but other countries would produce biofuels at the expense of feeding their population and cause the destruction of the rainforest, as well as emitting more carbon in the process. I agree with post #10 (Peter Dewar-Finch) - perhaps the government should be investing in solar energy/panels or electric cars as an alternative to oil.

  • 17.
  • At 01:44 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • the cookie ducker wrote:

My brother-in-law was known in Bolton in the 1990s as the chip fat man; making bio diesel (duty paid) for his small fleet of vans that he used for his industrial window cleaning business.
I once asked him could the world convert to bio fuel? he said "no way"..apparently, he did the maths; not enough landmass on the planet to produce the required fuel that could match petroleum usage. He now says the best option for the planet is water powered engines, even though he is not fully convinced that global warming is all man made.

The ill fitting white suited reporter.

The Tim whewell report from the Congo was fascinating. The Chinese need for natural resources due to its phenomenal growth is inevitable and the African continent has an abundence of minerals. Business is business and since the "govt" of Congo ain't got plans of their own to build roads or railways just yet, they've let the Chinese build it for them in exchange for an X amount of minerals." thirty two hospitals and two universities" them Chinese are not daft are they..I enjoyed Tims quick adding up skills and his point was made; the Chinese are going to make a healthy profit (well actually a fortune) and whats wrong with that, only a fool provides a service or product at a loss and they would never come up with a ball-park-amount using slap-dash figures without using expected costings factored in. If you ever need an accountant...Tims yer man. Seriously though, a very good report.

Michael Crick mentioned something that reminded the rest of us that Nulabour are a bit light on heavy weights. Who could replace Gordon Brown? My suggestion may have ethical implications but hear me out..if it could be possible to fuse the brain of Frank Field on to the false charm of Tony Blair... they could be on to a winner... ooh!! if that were possible.

Mondays Newsnight was solid.

  • 18.
  • At 02:12 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

Outstanding Jeremy tonight - particularly with Jean Ziegler on the issue of biofuels. At first I'd thought it was a good way to solve pollution and decrease carbon emissions. However after tonight's report by Jackie Long and the debate with Jean Ziegler, I also consider it to be utter madness. Domestic UK biofuels may well be made from waste products, but other countries would produce biofuels at the expense of feeding their population and cause the destruction of the rainforest, as well as emitting more carbon in the process. I agree with post #10 (Peter Dewar-Finch) - perhaps the government should be investing in solar energy/panels or electric cars as an alternative to oil.

  • 19.
  • At 06:34 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

Bio-fuels are not a complete waste of a food crop, the residue after pressing for oil makes excellent animal food. That is not to say that cutting down rain forests to plant palm oil is a good thing, but rape seed grown for bio-diesel in temperate climates produces meal for animal feed. The real threat to human food is petrol replacements like ethanol, although I expect that their are also animal feed derivatives here also. This basic fact wont show on the eco-fascist radar as the expect to force everyone to become vegetarian.

Brown is very foolish if expects the banks to cut their mortgage rates, after all, most of the serious long term savers have got their brass in for three years at 6%. This gives the banks little or no scope for rate reductions to retail customers.

As for the China deal with Congo, who can blame them for trying to break the corporate multinational cartel on metal prices. When the mines and infrastructure eventually opens the world copper and cobalt price could implode.

  • 20.
  • At 07:01 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

Biofuels are not insanity at all. They are getting a very bad press at the moment but the facts are as follows:

The total quantity of cereal crops going into biofuel production is 2% across Europe.

The vast majority of biofuels produced in the Uk are from waste products such as waste vegetable oil and tallow.

Price increases in foods, particularly wheat are due to crop failures in Australia and Russia

There is a debate to be had about the future long term sustainability of biofuels, anyone wishing to join in should do so via www.biofuelsmedia.com/conference

Biofuels have their part to play in the overall energy requirements in the future, media hysteria about biofuels is not going to help the market develop. Cheap imports coming into Europe, subsidised by American tax payers are the largest problem that the industry currently faces. European produced biofuels under scrutiny for sustainability criterea is the way forward for sure.

  • 21.
  • At 09:08 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

I noted one biofuel advocate in understandable Mandy Rice Davis mode as saying 'We can't do nothing about climate change' which, some have stated (including Mr. Paxman) without qualification as being 'man-made'. I have some problem with this definition purely as being an easy source of distraction to climate optimists. I prefer instead 'Probably man-worsened negative CC', and accepting that the prudent course in case it's true is to accept some evils as lesser, and cut back more and waste less.

But we need to be confident that what gets done is being done correctly and for the right reasons. Which brings us to competency and trust. From government to the agenda and abilities of some so-called objective media, both seem in short supply.

This was a thought-provoking piece, but unfortunately I, as a member of the consuming, but caring public, remain none the wiser.

It appears that our government, at the behest of the EU, has foisted something on us 'in the name of green' that, on current levels of information and 'expert' contribution, has at the very least a poor enviROI, and hence is serving our kids' futures very poorly.

Just a short time ago I admit to lusting after a SAAB biodiesel as a mitigating 'solution' to my family's needs/desires to travel, and the impact this has on the overall carbon impact we impose. Now it looks more likely to get keyed by an activist as a Hummer.

Currently the only winners still look like being a ratings hungry media. I note the piece that followed the biofuel one. I am no fan of Mr. Brown and his cabal of all the talents in representing this country's lead...er...followship, but it's an unenviable task to try and square economic growth and environmental impacts. Especially with a global population of 6B and growing.

ps: Angie the Eagle (who the heck are these newbie sacrificial goats that get wheeled out to defend the indefensible?) was a treasure, and JP's mild, uncharacteristically polite probing was all the more effective in highlighting her total lack of experience or ability to answer a single question or concern credibly. Shame on her superiors for hiding behind her, not that this decision worked either.

  • 22.
  • At 09:09 AM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • Neo Malthus wrote:

Of course using waste cooking oil is fine for biodiesel but don't forget it requires 20% methanol for it's production. Where does the methanol come from... Well you've guessed it.. from fossil fuels.
The main problem as I see it is that the 大象传媒 won't mention the POPULATION word.
The headlines last night proclaimed China as the world's worst polluter but remember it is the only country in the world that has attempted to limit it's population. Think of the pollution if it had not been reasonably successful!
We could let the population of the UK fall to (say) 40M if we cut immigration and kept to a reproduction rate of 1.8 children per couple. At this level we could grow our own food and fuel and not have to keep building new towns on (probably) flat agricultural land. In fact people would not need to buy a house in their lifetime.. just improve that of your parents/relatives that they would inherit. Transport, water and energy problems solved.

Business may have to learn to cope with flat graphs instead of boom/bust... but it's going to have to do this in the end... we can't grow forever!

The alternative is well show in the film"Solylent Green" just have a look.

  • 23.
  • At 05:33 PM on 15 Apr 2008,
  • wrote:

502nd...3rd time lucky - glad Aunty has her finest minds and our money on the problem...

I noted one biofuel advocate in understandable Mandy Rice Davis mode as saying 'We can't do nothing about climate change' which, some have stated (including Mr. Paxman) without qualification as being 'man-made'. I have some problem with this definition purely as being an easy source of distraction to climate optimists. I prefer instead 'Probably man-worsened negative CC', and accepting that the prudent course in case it's true is to accept some evils as lesser, and cut back more and waste less.

But we need to be confident that what gets done is being done correctly and for the right reasons. Which brings us to competency and trust. From government to the agenda and abilities of some so-called objective media, both seem in short supply.

This was a thought-provoking piece, but unfortunately I, as a member of the consuming, but caring public, remain none the wiser.

It appears that our government, at the behest of the EU, has foisted something on us 'in the name of green' that, on current levels of information and 'expert' contribution, has at the very least a poor enviROI, and hence is serving our kids' futures very poorly.

Just a short time ago I admit to lusting after a SAAB biodiesel as a mitigating 'solution' to my family's needs/desires to travel, and the impact this has on the overall carbon impact we impose. Now it looks more likely to get keyed by an activist as a Hummer.

Currently the only winners still look like being a ratings hungry media. I note the piece that followed the biofuel one. I am no fan of Mr. Brown and his cabal of all the talents in representing this country's lead...er...followship, but it's an unenviable task to try and square economic growth and environmental impacts. Especially with a global population of 6B and growing.

ps: Angie the Eagle (who the heck are these newbie sacrificial goats that get wheeled out to defend the indefensible?) was a treasure, and JP's mild, uncharacteristically polite probing was all the more effective in highlighting her total lack of experience or ability to answer a single question or concern credibly. Shame on her superiors for hiding behind her, not that this decision worked either.

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