![Rory Cellan-Jones](/staticarchive/07a3091db2f052a6ba8de359e70a534098055bd0.jpg)
Bill Gates - You Asked The Questions
- 6 Jan 08, 19:09 GMT
I've just emerged from the Microsoft machine, shaken but unscathed. I've interviewed Bill Gates three or four times over a 12 year period, and each time I come out impressed by the sheer professionalism of the Microsoft PR operation but wondering whether we've been successfully spun.
This time we tried a new tactic - getting 大象传媒 viewers, listeners and readers to ask the questions. We had thousands, covering every aspect of Bill Gates and Microsoft - past, present and future. Over two hundred were seeking jobs, one gentleman was proposing himself as the next CEO of Microsoft, and another wondered whether the secrets of Windows software had been recovered from a crashed UFO.
We did not ask that one, but managed to get through around fifteen questions during our allotted fifteen minutes. As ever, Mr Gates appeared very well briefed. Yes, Vista was a success, despite the frustrations expressed by Barry from London. Sure, he understood the anger felt by people like Daniel from Aberdeen about the reliability of the Xbox 360, but it was being sorted. Yes, Microsoft had missed some trends - the importance of search - and perhaps over-estimated others -the tablet computer, for instance. And no, Mr McInerney from Southampton, there isn't a single Mac to be found in the Gates household.
Throughout the interview the Microsoft chairman reached over to a handily placed table covered in mobile phones, all of them running Windows Mobile. Surely, I chipped in, this was one area where the likes of Google (with its new Android operating system) and Nokia, would prevent Microsoft from dominating? Windows is on 20 million phones, Google is on zero, though Nokia is pretty big, was the response. (I had arrived in the Microsoft tent bearing a blackberry, a Nokia phone and an iPhone, not quite realising how provocative that might be.)
The formal part of the interview over - and timed to the exact second by the Microsoft PR people - we went to have a look at Microsoft's surface computer. Bill Gates demonstrated it for me, afterwards admitting that this was just his second rehearsal of the demo he'll perform in his keynote tonight. And finally he stuck his neck out, predicting that this kind of computer will be in tens of millions of homes within a few years. Such predictions have sometimes gone awry - remember the wristwatch computer?
But Bill Gates, who is stepping aside from his day-to-day role at Microsoft to concentrate on his charity later this year, was in a relaxed mood. Whatever you think of the man or of Microsoft, he has undoubtedly been the leading figure in the world's most important industry over the last two decades.
Have a look at the interview, which will appear in various forms on this site and on television in the next 24 hours. And let us know what you think of the answers - and the questions.
![Darren Waters](/staticarchive/a4028e442c893493cecf472b2327ccc91370af2c.jpg)
Facts and figures...
- 6 Jan 08, 15:02 GMT
At CES you can be blinded by facts and figures.
Here's a sample of material delivered on Saturday from the Consumer Electronics Association about the future of the industry in the US.
You might want to put your sunglasses on:
2007's fastest growing products based on sales estimates:
1)High Def DVD Players (Blu-Ray or HD-DVD) 521%
2)Head Units w/HD Radio Capability 421%
3)Full HD (1080P) TVs 264%
4)8+ megapixel Digital Cameras 190%
5)Portable Navigation 145%
6)MP3 Players Supporting Video Playback 83%
7)LCD TVs 72%
8)Total O/E Integration 58%
9)DVD Players (non-recording, non-portable) 52%
10)Gaming Hardware 50%
What do people currently do with their mobiles phones (left hand column) and what do they want to do? (right hand column)
1.Listen to Music 94% 75%
2.Listen to other audio content 21% 39%
3.Listen to Podcasts 20% 29%
4.View Digital Photos 20% 39%
5.Watch Movies 18% 40%
6.Play Games 12% 24%
7.Watch Music Videos 13% 31%
8.Watch TV Programming 8% 38%
9.Watch Home Movies 8% 26%
What will 2008'脙聜脗聶s fastest growing products be in the US?
1)Head Units w/Bluetooth A2Dp 219%
2)LCD TVs (Greater than 50 inches脙聜脗聺) 122%
3)Full HD (1080P) TVs 115%
4)High Def DVD Players (Blu-Ray or HD-DVD) 112%
5)Head Units w/HD Radio Tuning 94%
6)Head Units that are Mechanism-less 85%
7)Camcorders Capable of Recording in HD 83%
8)Portable Navigation (Traffic Data Compatible) 74%
9)VOIP Phones, adapters, and kits 62%
10)Plasma TVs (Greater than 60inches脙聜脗聺) 43%
What will 2008's largest categories be doing in 2008, based on project sales - growing or declining?
1)Total Digital Displays + 13%
2)Wireless Phones 5%
3)Total PC (Desktop + Notebook) -2%
4)Gaming (Hardware + Software) 14%
5)Accessories 8%
6)Digital Imaging -1%
7)Total Audio Products 3%
My thanks to Shawn DuBravac of CEA for supplying the figures.
![Rory Cellan-Jones](/staticarchive/07a3091db2f052a6ba8de359e70a534098055bd0.jpg)
Wireless in Vegas
- 6 Jan 08, 04:06 GMT
Wireless in Vegas
Where and when do you want to have access to the internet? In my case it鈥檚 everywhere and all the time, and in Las Vegas this week there are plenty of devices aimed at giving you just that kind of access.
A couple of hours ago I was sitting in the back of a car driving down the Strip, updating my Facebook status and sending a photo home. Sad, I know. But the thrill was in the fact that I was using the car鈥檚 own self-generated wi-fi hot spot. A small company called US Telematics, started just a couple of years ago, has developed an in-car communications system, designed principally to keep American kids entertained during those endless journeys.
A unit installed in the roof uses a souped-up 3g phone network to access the internet and then creates a wi-fi hotspot in the car. The kids in the back can watch television streamed from their home via a Slingbox, while the parent up front uses a wireless device to check Google maps or book a hotel.
Now while I loved the experience of getting online from the back of the car, I can鈥檛 see myself shelling out between $500 and $1000 for the unit, then paying a monthly fee to the phone company. Howard Leventhal, the founder of US Telematics, says he gets a panic attack if he is away from the internet for too long and he is convinced there are enough people like him to provide a market for his idea.
There is a battle shaping up between the different wireless technologies , from wi-fi to wimax, to HSDPA. Just a couple of years back, the promise was that universally available wi-fi networks might make those phone companies that had spent a fortune building 3g look pretty daft.
Now the 鈥渨i-fi for all鈥 movement is fading. Having struggled to get easy access to wireless hotspots as I trudge through the endless acres of Las Vegas hotels on the way to press events I can see the attraction of alternative technologies.
The big question is just what consumers will pay for connectivity. A taxi-driver overheard me marvelling at my experience of in-car wi-fi. 鈥淔orget it, 鈥 he said. 鈥淭hose phone companies just want to lock you in to a monthly fee. The working guy can鈥檛 afford it.鈥 And having just found out that I will be charged 拢7 a megabyte to access the internet from my phone while in Las Vegas, I think he may be right.
![Darren Waters](/staticarchive/a4028e442c893493cecf472b2327ccc91370af2c.jpg)
Looking into the crystal ball
- 6 Jan 08, 03:52 GMT
The story of CES 2008 - even two days before the doors open officially - is not about which technology will reign supreme, or how many pixels a display has, or whichever format will come to dominate. It is about the integration of technology with services and content.
It's called the 360 degree experience. And it's essentially the ability to get content - be it music or films, or pictures, or text - and to share it, enjoy it, wherever and whenever.
Shawn Dubravac, an analyst with the Consumer Electronics Association, explained to me that no longer were technologies being released in isolation.
"We鈥檙e seeing device manufacturers, services providers and content creators working together to form alliances and joint ventures to make sure they get it right from day one," he said.
Some people might say, "about time too", because often it has been technology acting as a barrier to us over when we want to move content between devices, like a PC and MP3 player.
Dubravac believes that technologies like the PC and TV, and the set-top box, and your mobile phone are going to be much cosier than they have been in recent years.
He told me: "Consumers are increasingly taking digital media 鈥 even if it was originally in physical form like a CD or DVD - and they want to rip it on to a hard drive, or computer, or set-top box, so they have that content wherever they want, whenever they want it.
"One of the things driving the 360 degree experience is that consumers are increasingly vocalising what they want 鈥 the services, devices and content they want."
So is this the end of walled gardens, and dreaded vertical integration?
Not quite - the lock in for consumer may not be technology in the future, but it will certainly be service-related.
We may well have more flexibility to move our content around - but only between devices that are part of whichever service plan we have signed up for.
It is progress - but we are still some way off the truly seamless digital world.
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