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As I put (rushed) the children to bed last night a car drove past the top of our road ferrying a megaphone-carrying First Minister around his constituency. He was doing his bit to persuade the voters of Cardiff West not to go to their beds without casting their vote.

The response from some, we're told, wasn't good and when Rhodri Morgan gets the cold shoulder in Canton, that is very bad news for Labour.

Labour in Wales are privately admitting that they're facing the real possibility of a double electoral whammy come Sunday night:: Plaid topping the poll and getting more votes than them, while the second of the two seats Labour held in the European Parliament goes to Ukip. Ukip need 50% of the vote of the party that tops the poll + 1.

Losing the seat would hurt. Losing to Plaid would hurt far more and make the hard yards they already face in 2009 even harder.

There are stories around that Labour are trailing Ukip in Pembrokeshire, losing out to both Plaid and Ukip in Llanelli and Carmarthen West.

I wonder whether Rhodri Morgan will be more determined to run for that garden shed to start writing his book or whether the calls on him to stay on until the party can deal with his departure will get louder?

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