大象传媒

My apologies if all this US election stuff bores you rigid: I promise that normal service will soon be resumed.

But here鈥檚 your Lustig Survival Guide for Super Tuesday.

1. Don鈥檛 take any more notice of the Republican race. Senator John McCain of Arizona will be their candidate for President. For now, that鈥檚 all you need to know. There鈥檒l be plenty of time to look at him more closely in the months to come.

2. Don鈥檛 take any notice of how many states Hillary Clinton 鈥渨ins鈥�, or how many Barack Obama 鈥渨ins鈥�. This isn鈥檛 about winning states; it鈥檚 about winning delegates to the party convention. So to repeat what I told you in an earlier edition of the Survival Guide: keep counting the delegates. the link.

3. Don鈥檛 be surprised if Hillary comes out on top, but the Obama people say they won. What matters to them is momentum, just as much as the Super Tuesday results.

3. Watch California. It has lots of delegates and it matters. Until just a couple of days ago, it looked safe for Hillary. Not any more 鈥�

4. Don鈥檛 expect it to be over by Tuesday night. I reckon there are another 6-8 weeks to go. For now, the Obama campaign has the wind in its sails. But winds change direction. And opinion polls sometimes get it wrong.

5. In other words, keep reading this blog. I promise to look after you. You鈥檒l be fine.

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