Ash Dieback and Fergie-Time
Tim Harford fells some ash tree related statistics and asks if Sir Alex Ferguson's Manchester United really get more added time than other teams.
Ash Dieback. Did the disease really kill 90 percent of ash trees in Denmark? Is this really a good comparator for the UK and have 100,000 trees really been 'felled' in the UK?
Fiscal Multipliers. The International Monetary Fund has admitted that it got its fiscal multipliers wrong when forecasting growth. This could have huge consequences in assessing whether or not austerity at a time of deep recession is the right way forward. But what does this mean for the Treasurer of Trumpton Tim Harford after he sacked Dibble the fireman last year as part of his cutbacks.
Cod - we show how wrong the headline 'There are only 100 cod left in the North Sea' actually is.
Fergie-time. Does Fergie-time exist? Do Manchester United get more injury time than other top teams when they're drawing or behind?
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"Fergie time": Fact or fiction?
Duration: 01:53
Broadcasts
- Fri 23 Nov 2012 16:30大象传媒 Radio 4
- Sun 25 Nov 2012 20:00大象传媒 Radio 4
Just how reliable is our intuition? Find out with The Open University
OU Connect: Put your brain to the test with our new mind-bending probability problems!
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大象传媒 Ideas discovers three easy ways to help make sense of statistics.
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