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Tim Harford asks if the UK would be better off in or out of the EU when it comes to trade.
If it seems the EU referendum debate just involves two politicians shouting contradictory statistics at each other - then we are here to help.
In this series, we're giving you a break from the politicians and we're going to try to figure out the truth. Bracing concept, isn't it? We'll be looking at some of the big questions - the cost of being a member, immigration, lawmaking and regulation.
But today we're looking at trade. Tim Harford asks if the UK would be better off in or out when it comes to trade with other nations.
Just how reliable is our intuition? Find out with The Open University
OU Connect: Put your brain to the test with our new mind-bending probability problems!