Pakistan's dept for reconciling the irreconcilable
Monday's show that India, the US and Pakistan, which used its army to arrest 'more than a dozen' suspected militants at the site, seem to share a view about what happened in Mumbai. The authorities in Islamabad early demands for proof from India have given way to action based upon the assumption that , a Kashmiri militant group, played a key role in organising last month's terrorist attacks on that city. This in turn will lead investigators closer to Inter-Services Intelligence - the ISI - the Pakistani military's organisation for gathering secret information, and one of the most written about but least understood intelligence agencies in the world.
The ISI helped to establish Lashkar e-Taiba, just as it played a key role in organising religious students (Taleban) to fight in Afghanistan. During the 1980s Pakistan's leaders wanted to foment trouble in neighbouring countries and these religious-based organisations were a useful tool in that policy. More recently Pakistani leaders have sworn that they would have nothing to do with organising Mumbai or the blowing up of the Indian embassy in Kabul earlier this year, but nobody who knows the region is completely sure that these events were unconnected with the ISI.
Having met a few serving members of the ISI, the impression they usually give is of serving military officers who are on secondment to military intelligence. In other words they seem no more religious, conspiratorial, or devious than any other service type one meets in the sub-continent, carrying out normal military duties.
There is though an odd duality about many of these people. Meeting one senior officer in ISI recently, I asked him some questions about insurgency in various parts of Pakistan only to have him shoot back at me, "and what efforts have you made to interview the Taleban?" It was a fair question. Was it born of an intelligence officer's curiosity about what 'the opposition' think? Or did he feel that organisations like the ´óÏó´«Ã½ do not give enough attention to the Taleban's point of view? Was it, in other words an expression of some form of sympathy for them?
Alas our conversation did not last long enough to get beyond my expressions of anxiety about how such an interview could be conducted without a high risk to myself and others or, indeed, whether he could facilitate it. I may though get in touch with him again to pursue this last question.
The view of some of those in Western organisations that liaise professionally with the ISI is that there is an, educated, politically-sensitive, senior management who have become de-coupled from some of the foot soldiers - the captains or majors who have trained insurgents or run sources in Lashkar e-Taiba or the Taleban. As if this is not already a problem, the ISI has indeed just been through one of its periodical management re-shuffles - something apparently designed to ensure its loyalty to the current army chief.
Some Pakistani observers buy this theory too - hence talk of 'elements within the ISI' still being loyal to the Taleban. It is however an organisation that runs on the basis of military hierarchy, and the , apparently based on US intelligence briefing, that the CIA believes the ISI has been liaising closely recently with a senior Lashkar e-Taiba militant called Zarrar Shah. This suggests the military command structure must know something about these contacts.
The ISI might argue that penetration of these organisations - including paying some militants - is all part of the struggle for intelligence information. It is also probable that some of the recent in the tribal areas have relied upon intelligence provided by the ISI.
So how does one explain these contradictions: arresting Lashkar militants after years of supporting them? Sympathising with the Taleban while providing the Americans with intelligence needed to kill them? In the end, the ISI is part of Pakistan's impossible balancing act - trying to reconcile its need for cooperation with the west against its sympathy and sense of Islamic solidarity with many of those the Indians or Americans despise. We might marvel at some of the verbal gymnastics of a Pakistani politician trying to explain a recent American attack in the tribal areas but the ISI is different in that it attempts to reconcile the irreconcilable in secret and when it fails, the consequences can be quite terrible.
Comment number 1.
At 8th Dec 2008, John Bennett wrote:A well balanced article without the hyperbole that too often dominates comment in this area. Are the ISI any less complicated than any security service? After all, the US has often managed to look both ways at once and has supported more than it's share of "terrorist" organisations in the past. Such as the Taleban for instance, or Saddam Hussein, the Contras etc.
Complain about this comment (Comment number 1)
Comment number 2.
At 8th Dec 2008, bookhimdano wrote:how do we reconcile promoting human rights and uk military intelligence officers listening while someone else tortures ?
the uk is not neutral. the FO is pursuing a neocon agenda.
everyone has a bias which is based on false beliefs of what the good is.
iraq and afghanistan is an experiment in game theory. game theory does not believe there is anything called the common good but only self interest and replaces calls to duty and honour with performance targets.
how do we reconcile the rhetoric of 'winning' when clearly that is not even a performance target?
Complain about this comment (Comment number 2)
Comment number 3.
At 9th Dec 2008, Furbian wrote:"During the 1980s Pakistan's leaders wanted to foment trouble in neighbouring countries", oh very objective. I take it this does not include Iran or China, but refers to Indian occupied Kashmir (I know this term itself can be censored due to the Indian bias apparently built into this site) and Afghanistan.
With the Russians, strongly allied to Indians, turning up on the north western border, and the Americans (CIA worked with the ISI here) viewing this is a way to fight a proxy war against Russian, the objective wasn't quite to "foment trouble", the threat was seen by the country's population as being existential.
As for fomenting 'trouble' in Kashmir, the Pakistanis, and a good many Kashmiries (if not the vast majority) see it as struggle for freedom from India. With a death toll between 30,000 and 70,000 (yes, what a huge disparity, unlike the very precise number of victims for the recent Bombay attacks), when it comes to the Kashmiries no one cares much for number there, but a lot of attention is focused on how it is Pakistan that foments 'trouble' there.
The direct implication here is Pakistanies like to 'foment trouble' for the sake of it. "Oh Afghanistan looks peaceful, lets create some mischief for the fun of it today, I am so very bored".
Complain about this comment (Comment number 3)
Comment number 4.
At 9th Dec 2008, polax71 wrote:Much of Pakistan's and India's problem lies in the motive behind the creation of the two states.
And the media has not really helped matters much in either of the countries. Almost every Pakistani thinks that India is out to destroy it - and the Indian media paints pretty much the same picture about Pakistan. However most Indians want to get on with their lives - the economic boom of the 90s has shown what the country has been able to achieve and what more it can.
Unless Pakistan does a u-turn in the way it approaches the region - words like "failed state" " rogue state" are bound to come its way in clock-like frequency. India needs to understand and facilitate this. State-sponsored terrorism has no place in a civilized society.
Complain about this comment (Comment number 4)
Comment number 5.
At 9th Dec 2008, kamalarsenal wrote:the isi is also alleged as having acted in concert with AQ khan in the international nuclear weapons market (on previous pakistani govt say so). it set up camps, organizations, funding networks and infrastructure that led to terrorism in india, the usa, uk, afghanistan and pakistan itself- so why does it help terrorists on one hand and act against them on the other? 2 reasons- 1. it is out of control and different decision makers implement actions at will. 2. overall helping terrorists serves their ideological and long term strategic objectives whilst they can't continue to function without $$$$, which the usa provide. balancing act indeed! it is a diseased organization that needs to be broken up
Complain about this comment (Comment number 5)
Comment number 6.
At 14th Dec 2008, dennisjunior1 wrote:Mark....
That is the best dept for reconciling the problems in the country....specially terrorist and there mischief [and] there proxies from causing trouble in the world.
Complain about this comment (Comment number 6)
Comment number 7.
At 16th Dec 2008, Stop_it_Aggers wrote:Funny you should mention the NYT being briefed by US intelligence sources, I've just been reading this article :
which has some interesting things to say on how the weakness of the US media allows the State Department to mould the coverage given to allies and enemies. Some slightly dodgy statistics, but well worth a read.
Complain about this comment (Comment number 7)