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Mystery of defence

Douglas Fraser | 18:24 UK time, Thursday, 14 May 2009

In Perth, a strange combination: one part of the Conservative Party is hoping to re-establish itself more securely somewhere on the Scottish political radar screen.

The other part is having to weigh its words very carefully, as it positions itself for (it hopes) winning power at Westminster.

For Commons front-benchers, their visit to the Scottish conference includes significant amounts of ear-bashing from lobby groups, notably about the state of the economy.

Today, Oil and Gas UK had visiting them on an Aberdeen stopover.

Chief executive Malcolm Webb was impressing on the politician the industry's reckoning that it faces a £2bn reduction in capital investment, due to rising costs, falling output prices and the credit squeeze.

That translates, according to OGUK, into 40,000 jobs, and in a sector that earns £45bn per year in export earnings.

Last months' budget, from Alistair Darling, had left the trade body with "general disappointment" at a lost opportunity that the industry was not put on a better footing.

Music to Mr Osborne's ears, no doubt, but with the public finances in some state, it's not clear whether he can afford to do avoid continued offshore sector disappointment.

Back at the conference, Shadow Defence Secretary Liam Fox has been trying to walk a difficult line on procurement.

A Strategic Defence Review is proposed, as an early priority for an incoming Tory government.

Painful cuts are expected. That may be true of any government after next year's Westminster election.

Mr Fox's speech only guaranteed one element of the review - "there will be a replacement to the submarine-based nuclear deterrent under a Conservative Government".

That follows a recent hint that whatever follows Trident may be in three subs instead of four.

And what of projects that are already under way? The supercarrier contract for instance, which is vital to the future for the Clyde's two shipyards and Rosyth?

All Mr Fox says about it in his speech is "some debate the merits of Britain building two new aircraft carriers for the Royal Navy".

Not quite a ringing endorsement of the plan. But could there be cancellation if Tories win office? Only at considerable expense, and quite a bit of political pain.


Comments

  • Comment number 1.

    This is selective quoting regarding what Dr Fox said about the carrier programme. Anyone who heard the speech in full or has read it online will know what was really said was this:

    "It is a world which is both dangerous and unpredictable. Let me give you a flavour. While some debate the merits of Britain building two new aircraft carriers for the Royal Navy, Russian plans for its navy include the construction of six nuclear powered aircraft carriers and eight ballistic missile submarines."

  • Comment number 2.

    Fox is gaffe prone though, last time he got up here he said something to the effect of: "its always nice to visit a foreign country", when asked what he thought of Edinburgh!

  • Comment number 3.

    #1

    What that should tell you is that our two aircraft carriers are unlikely to survive for long in a confrontation with the Russians!

    Actually, I really don't understand why our aircraft carriers aren't nuclear powered as well.....

  • Comment number 4.

    Tory's paying lip service to the Scot's again.

    Osbourne's eyeing up the cash cow in the pond the Tory's will again inherit and having a dig at the SNP to boot.

    The Tory's had no remit in Scotland to impose the cuts and taxes Thatcher brought in, so it's little wonder that these Etonian snobs are looking to fool us all into thinking they haven't got exactly the same future in store for us.

    The SNP is the only defence we've got - and when a new form of Tory LIT is imposed on the "jacobites" by the sitting Cameron government, we'll see how many of these empty and desolate promises they keep.

  • Comment number 5.

    #3 Wee-Scamp

    "Actually, I really don't understand why our aircraft carriers aren't nuclear powered as well....."

    Originally it was a joint French/UK venture, the design work having been undertaken by Thales. The French pulled out of the project at a late stage in the design process in favour of building nuclear powered carriers, we chose to carry on.

    Operationally nuclear powered carriers are far superior, which only leaves cost as the reason for not going down this route.

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