Bumpy landing
The FlyGlobespan story hasn't flown away.
Putting Scotland's largest airline into administration, nearly two months ago, turned out to be more than just a casualty of recession.
We know now that it was primarily because the company handling its online transactions, E-Clear, was withholding cash - £35m of it.
And it was not for insurance against the airline's collapse, as we were told, but because it was struggling to keep paying bills from two previous airline failures.
There's more coming on Thursday. Face the Facts, to be broadcast on ´óÏó´«Ã½ Radio 4 at 1230 GMT, has taken a close look at Mr Elias Elia, the chief executive of E-Clear.
It has not only raised questions about the incompetence or illegality of his attempts to avoid collapse, but come up with some significant answers about the way he was funding his other businesses.
In Scotland, the collapse of Globespan and its FlyGlobespan airline has moved on to questions of how to fill the gap it has left.
It had well over 500,000 seats booked out of Scotland in the year ahead (one industry insider told me it was 700,000) and airport operators are struggling to fill that gap.
One problem was the timing. December is the point at which most budget operators have just finalised their schedules, and they don't have the flexibility to respond quickly to opportunities like a rival's collapse.
Edinburgh Airport reckons it has now made up the loss of seats on its sixth biggest operator, with Ryanair's chief executive, Michael O'Leary, taking one of his own jets from Dublin to Prestwick today to announce three new routes and a doubling of the capacity of his Ayrshire maintenance operation.
I asked him how he can afford aircraft maintenance on £5 tickets, once he has paid for the plane and for its fuel.
He assured me Ryanair can avoid heavy maintenance costs by running one of the most modern fleets.
And while he's re-oriented his Prestwick operation towards outbound, sun-seeking Scots, Edinburgh is the hub for inbound tourists.
It is easier to market Edinburgh to the world, and it seems O'Leary has at last found at the capital's Turnhouse a bit of BAA plc with which he can work.
The downside for Prestwick is that it means handling a more seasonal market.
And a downside for both is that there are never good margins on working with Ryanair.
Last year was pretty dire for Prestwick. Passenger numbers were down 24% to 1.8 million.
It badly needs to find some operators other than Ryanair: at present there are only a couple.
Glasgow passenger traffic was down 11% to 7.2 million. Because people are switching to the train? They've looked at the figures and concluded that's not the reason.
Aberdeen was down 9% to 3 million, while Edinburgh was up just under 1% to reach 9 million.
It was the only BAA plc airport to register growth. The capital also registered a bumper year for cargo, up by 135%, while its rivals saw air-freight fall steeply.
As a result of its location, well served by relatively uncongested roads, it's hard not to conclude that Edinburgh is a better proposition for airlines.
It doesn't help that Glasgow's rail network is now stuck in a siding for the foreseeable future.
And with the Competition Commission today serving notice that it intends to revisit its legally stalled push to break up Edinburgh and Glasgow, their relative valuations will be a key part of deciding which one gets sold.
While Ryanair has the scale and flexibility to swoop on the Scottish market with an expanded service, it's not a core part of the summer package travel trade.
That so-called "leisure market" is distinct from the low-fare one.
And without FlyGlobespan, Scotland now has two air operators - Thomas Cook and Tui - who have 80% of the market between them.
That, in itself, is seeing prices rise, by around 10%, and most steeply if you're booking flights only.
These leisure airlines want to sell seats to people who will be staying at their hotels, and buying their packages, so there's a hefty premium on not doing so.
And as they also prefer to stick to rigid seven or 14 day return tickets, that's not the flexibility many customers are seeking.
It adds up to a tough year ahead for outbound Scottish travellers, who have already shown a boost in demand with early January bookings.
The industry's hope is that the FlyGlobespan-shaped hole in much of the market may attract newcomers for their 2011 schedules.
Comment number 1.
At 11th Feb 2010, Brian Divers wrote:FlyGlobespan will be sadly missed, none more so by the loyal employees, innocent to the mal-administration of another Company. And to its users, like me, less choice and higher costs. Although I got all my money back, the flights that I had booked at £182 suddenly became £299 with the competition! I also like to reserve my seats and what was simple and cheap with FGS, becomes complicated and expensive with Thomas Cook, at nearly 3 times the cost! Come back FGS!
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Comment number 2.
At 11th Feb 2010, Gregor MacCallum wrote:I cant agree more that FlyGlobespan will be missed.
I think we as travellers from Scotland now stand to be ripped off on flight costs as the competition that FlyGlobespan was has gone. My family normally holidays in Cyprus and for the past couple of years have used FlyGlobespan at circa £200 a ticket for durations that suited us (2.5 weeks). This year the prices for 2 weeks flight only with the other 2 carriers at Glasgow are over £600 a ticket.
This is forcing me to look at flying from Newcastle as an alternative as Glasgow or Edinburgh is just not a viable option.
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Comment number 3.
At 11th Feb 2010, kaybraes wrote:I have used Newcastle for the last ten years ; the choice is much greater, it is considerably cheaper, parking is cheaper and easier and the distance I have to drive means only an extra twenty minuts in the car. The roads to and from the airport are good and uncongested compared with the M8 or the Edinburgh city bypass.
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Comment number 4.
At 11th Feb 2010, Sam Lowry wrote:Dodgy dealings, shadowy money transfers, lack of accountability and oversight, corporate arrogance and dissemblance, has this man considered a career as a political advisor or even a future Prime Minister? In the current financial climate with the constrictions being imposed by rather hypocritical institutions, I don't see many names lingering in the wings just 'chomping at the bit' to fill this 'FlyGlobespan shaped hole', after all what has changed to prevent another firm like E-Clear, from copying their 'success'. This lends new meaning to the term 'boom and bust' - you boom - we'll bust you. I think that even I could manage to find some trace of £100 million. Unless, of course, the owners of E-Clear kept it all in cash (highly unlikely), it must of at some stage been in a BANK account and so was either transferred or withdrawn. So where was it last lodged, how, where and when was it withdrawn/transferred, I may well be wrong but to me this astonishing inaction has the stench of corruption ... This is the forth travel company, which I have used regularly, to collapse due to problems regarding 'cash flow' ... with money coming in, established market and healthy demand. Financial industry insiders inform me that without any impediments or deterrent, the owners of E-Clear are preparing the ground for a son-of-E-Clear ... and they say 'incompetence' doesn't pay.
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Comment number 5.
At 11th Feb 2010, NewForfarian wrote:It does seem incredible that e-clear's operation as a bankcard payment handler was apparently without oversight or regulation in the UK.
That a man (Elias Elia) deemed 'unsuitable' to operate a German bank (by the German banking regulator) was able to use money from one part of his 'empire' to prop up another is strongly redolent of the kind of chicanery that emblemised the business groupings headed by the late Robert Maxwell MC.
I thought we were all supposed to have learned the lessons of the Maxwell affair, but apparently we needed a reminder....
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