Reverse ferret on student fees
In newspapers, it's called a "reverse ferret" - argue one thing with great vigour and panache one week, and when public opinion turns, follow the herd by arguing the precise opposite the next week, with similar vigour.
This is not quite hypocrisy, which involves holding conflicting views at the same time.
This is more a U-turn in response to changing circumstances, and it can be a noble art.
Several reverse ferrets are going to be required at Holyrood.
Budget pressures are going to force Scotland's political parties to prepare the ground for cuts from next April, and the Holyrood election in May.
By next summer, there should be some sacred cows getting barbecued.
The pressure is financial, and the difficult bit is managing the politics.
Time-honoured tradition, and good practice, requires outriders to prepare the ground for difficult and unpopular decisions.
That's why I'd expect George Osborne to set up a number of independent reviews as part of his Budget statement next week.
In Scotland, we got two of these outriders at work today.
CBI Scotland set out its manifesto for the parties, hoping to influence them when they're struggling to figure out a way of constructing manifestos for austere times.
The employers' organisation doesn't seek to go with the grain of Holyrood opinion. It prefers to challenge it, which is making the CBI more of a political football.
It's calling for a wider range of public services to be commissioned from private firms, and says it's no longer sustainable to avoid compulsory redundancies.
Publicly-owned companies from Scottish Water to Highlands and Islands Airports would be sold off.
While there's a call to tackle pay, pensions and absence rates, an intriguing proposal is to put more incentives into public sector pay as reward for outsourcing and sharing services across organisational boundaries.
That looks like introducing more of a bonus culture into the public sector, when it's under much criticism in the private one.
Then there's something called "re-evaluating student contributions to fees".
This is an unusually mealy-mouthed wording from CBI Scotland. What it means is fees or a graduate tax.
Much clearer is the call today from the Reform Scotland think tank.
It shares the bosses' belief that the state's got too big. It also thinks it only fair that graduates should pay a contribution to the cost of their tuition - above all, if the same money could be used to sustain essential public services elsewhere.
How, for instance, would you choose between nursery school provision or student fees, if one of them has to take a squeeze?
But as there's concern that fees could put people off going to university - and particularly from low-income families - the Reform Scotland proposal is to defer the fees to the point at which graduates start earning more than average earnings.
At present, that's £23,000. Only above £35,000 would the re-payments rise to a top rate of 5% of income.
The argument is made from a fairness point of view, rather than the pressure on public finances.
That may be one of its weaknesses, as the cost to the government of covering that tuition up-front, and only getting repayments starting six or seven years later, doesn't deal with the challenge of balancing books in the short term.
But the fact that the argument is being made at all is important for forcing Holyrood politicians to start addressing the issue. There was a widespread consensus when they voted in 2002 to abolish student fees and replace them with a graduate endowment.
The consensus continued in 2007, when the graduate endowment was abolished. The rhetoric was about making education "free", though it's obviously not free to the taxpayer.
And is that consensus holding three years on? No. The reaction to the Reform Scotland proposal saw three of the four main parties today showing signs of looking to reverse the ferret.
Lib Dems are showing few signs of changing their tune. At Westminster, they've got got an agreement to abstain if Tories want an end to the £3,300 per year cap on English students' fees.
Scottish Tories have been calling for an independent review of all aspects of higher education.
Labour has joined that call, though it's more limited to the question of finance. Spokeswoman Claire Baker said today she's against student tuition fees, but that doesn't rule out the Reform Scotland idea of deferring them for graduates to pay.
The SNP's education secretary, Mike Russell, is similarly against a "kneejerk reaction" of piling the government's financial pressure onto students.
But the administration is now beginning to acknowledge there's a challenge on university finance that needs to be met, and it's opening up to new thinking.
It's worth noting that universities are doing likewise. Today's report says nearly half of their income comes from sources other than block grants for tuition.
That includes grants from UK research councils, commercial research finance, commercial spin-outs of their research, conference income and student rent, along with tapping alumni for donations.
Dependence on core public funding has fallen in 20 years from 80% of combined budgets to 51%.
That partly reflects the high quality of what Scottish universities can offer their commercial partners. Significant parts of the sector represent a world class resource.
If the knowledge economy is the future, and if universities will help create it, then they'll need long-term funding stability.
After four fundamental changes to student finance over the past 12 years, leaving no direct contribution to tuition from students or graduates, that stability is now very much in doubt.
With the help of Wikipedia - and therefore not to be trusted - the story goes that Kelvin Mackenzie, when legendary editor of The Sun, required his journalists to "stick a ferret up the trousers" of those on whom they reported.
He would wait until the public mood changed, and then emerge from his office to declare loudly and proudly: "reverse ferret".
Comment number 1.
At 15th Jun 2010, spagan wrote:Ah - the wit and wisdom of Lord Kelvin MacKenzie - what a waste of a good Scottish name?
As for Reform Scotland. One shouldn't pretend that this is a shift of opinion from them. They sacked the esteemed management consultant, Attila the Hun for his left wing, wishy washy liberalism.
The only pragmatic way to pay for public services that include Higher Education is to have a progressive Income Tax system. It may be that reducing the number of quasi degree courses from Universities to the FE sector is worth considering, as is shortening some courses from 3 or 4 years to 2 years (or perhaps 2 months in some instances?).
Bring back Chancellor Healey - Soak those who caused (and those who failed to regulate) the financial crisis until their pips squeak!
Slainte Mhor
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Comment number 2.
At 15th Jun 2010, Wee-Scamp wrote:CBI Scotland is just a branch office of the City of London which is intent on sucking out as much value out of the rest of us as it possibly can. If Scottish water was privatised it would soon end up in foreign ownership as the City does what it does best which is to churn money rather than use if for investment.
Anyone who hasn't watched it should watch last nights Dispatches programme on Ch4 (that includes you Douglas) which explains perfectly why the City is so dangerous.
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Comment number 3.
At 15th Jun 2010, Flora d Lithe wrote:Re tuition fees, and the suggestion that graduates should pay more tax.
IF degrees still carried any standing, as evidenced by the ever-0diminishing graduate premium, they WOULD pay more - because they would be earning more, and Income Tax payable is largely proportional to income.
It's called a progressive tax system!
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Comment number 4.
At 15th Jun 2010, Denno wrote:Free education is unsustainable in the current 'shove them all into uni and off the unemployment figures' climate. New Labour's idea of getting more students into university is in itself a noble one (especially when a highly skilled workforce is needed), but the cack handed way it was implemented was ridiculous. No thought was given to the high dropout rates, the large number of graduates with degrees for which there are no jobs, the effect on teaching caused by the sudden surge in students etc. etc. The only choices are to charge students, or to significantly reduce student numbers. I'd favour the later, whilst trying to maintain the number of places available in science and engineering.
As for the proposals mentioned, how about those EU students who get free education in Scotland (I'm not sure of the numbers, and if it is a significant proportion of students)? Will they be expected to pay from later earnings?
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